Social Security Benefits Face A Real Deadline, But Not The One Most People Fear Social Security benefits are heading toward a genuine financial cliff, but new polling reveals most Americans fundamentally misunderstand what that cliff actually looks like. That gap in understanding may be part of why Washington hasn’t treated this as an urgent priority. … Read more
Trump Voter Approval Summer Polling Tells A More Complicated Story Than “Cruel Summer” Trump voter approval summer polling has been covered almost entirely through one lens this week, a rough stretch getting rougher. That framing captures part of the picture but misses two genuinely important details buried in the same data everyone is citing. Multiple … Read more
Supreme Court Backs Trump’s Order To Curb Mail Ballots, With A Major Asterisk Supreme Court backs Trump’s order to curb mail ballots is the headline running across nearly every outlet today. What most of that coverage skips is just how narrow this particular win actually is, and how little may change on the ground because … Read more
Donald Trump State Level Polling Is Telling Several Different Stories At Once Donald Trump state level polling has become genuinely confusing to follow this August, and not because voters keep changing their minds every few days. The confusion comes from how differently pollsters go about measuring the same electorate. Recent national surveys illustrate the problem … Read more
Donald Trump State Approval Ratings Now Read Like An Electoral Map Donald Trump state approval ratings usually get covered as one flat national headline. That framing misses what actually matters heading into November, since the state by state breakdown tells a far more specific story. Seven key battlegrounds, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, … Read more
Kevin Kiley’s Political Gamble Explained Kevin Kiley did something few sitting members of Congress ever attempt. He walked away from his own party in the middle of a brutal redistricting battle and chose to run without one at all. For years, Kiley represented California’s old 3rd District as a Republican. That district no longer exists … Read more
Attorney General Todd Blanche Faces His Biggest Test Yet Attorney General Todd Blanche is having a rough month in the courtroom. Twenty two times, judges across the country have shut down the Department of Justice’s attempt to gain sweeping access to state voter rolls. Instead of backing off, Blanche is doubling down. On Sunday, he … Read more
Two of the reddest states in the country are watching their Democratic Senate hopes collapse into infighting this summer, and the party’s own strategists aren’t hiding their frustration. Idaho’s Democratic Senate Bid Just Fell Apart Idaho’s Democratic nominee, David Roth, ended his own Senate campaign Tuesday, telling supporters his time is better spent helping down-ballot … Read more
The rules around your mail ballot could change before you even notice. That’s the reality millions of voters are facing right now. It started in March, when President Trump signed an executive order pushing federal agencies, including USPS, to overhaul how mail ballots get handled nationwide. Under the proposed rule, USPS would only deliver ballots … Read more